LIVE DISPATCH
Loss and Damage Finance: From COP28 Pledges to Policy Architecture Extended Deterrence Under Strain: Credibility, Assurance, and the Stability-Instability Paradox in the Indo-Pacific Beyond Consultation: BIMSTEC's Emerging Role in Regional Intelligence and Security Cooperation Maritime India: Security, Trade, and Great Power Competition Between the Desert and the Savannah: Conflict and the Political Economy of Instability in the Sahel Beyond Ukraine: Understanding Putin's Vision of Russian Power The Politics of Ali Khamenei's Funeral Silicon Sovereignty: How Semiconductors Are Redrawing Global Power Hierarchies Operation Sindoor and the Changing Dynamics of India–Pakistan Security The Negative Impact of US–Iran War on the Pacific Region Generative AI, Labour Sovereignty, and the Geoeconomics of India's Service Economy BRICS Expansion and the Multipolar Moment: Opportunity or Strategic Contradiction? India's AI Diplomacy and the Future of Strategic Technologies Foot-Dragging as Feminism: Iran, South Korea, and the Ungovernable Body Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems and the Governance Deficit: Challenges to International Humanitarian Law and Accountability Beyond Proximity: Why the UAE Occupies a Growing Place in Iran’s Strategic Calculus Great Power Rivalry and the Crisis of the United Nations Why Fiji Matters: The New Geopolitics of the Indo-Pacific Islands Ten Years After Brexit: Regret, Reform, or Reversal? The Long Shadow of 1953: Understanding the Iran–US Conflict Sports, Strategy and Statecraft of Mega Sporting Events as Geoeconomic Instruments: Qatar 2022 to Saudi Arabia 2034 Border Fencing and National security: India’s Strategy along the Bangladesh Border Hardening the Quad: From Strategic Dialogue to Operational Cooperation Lingering Effects of the Bush Doctrine on Contemporary US Foreign Policy The Maghreb of States: Identity, Sovereignty, and the Limits of Non-Interference India’s BRICS 2026 Chairmanship Navigating a tightrope Amidst the Chinese Geopolitical Rise Beyond the Battlefield: Understanding Unconventional Security Challenges in Contemporary Geopolitics The Control Paradox: How Proxy Warfare Enables Strategic Deniability While Constraining Strategic Control Trapped in Deterrence: Nuclear Stability and the Persistence of Conflict in South Asia The Return of Unipolarity? U.S Strategic Primacy and the Future of the Global Order Supply Chains and Complicity: The Role of Global Corporations in Forced Labour in Xinjiang The Distant Threat: Is Israel Constructing a Strategic Rival in Pakistan Island Militarisation and Techno-Diplomacy: Turkey’s Eastern Mediterranean Fault Lines Amid India-Greece Alignment India’s Security Scenario: An Assessment of its Continental and Maritime Challenges The Geopolitical Architecture of European Defence: Navigating NATO Synergies, Transatlantic Retrenchment, and the Hybrid Threat Landscape The Artemis Accords and the Future of Global Space Governance AI and the Securitization of Critical Infrastructure: Implications of India's AI Summit Beyond Rhetoric: Evaluating the Effectiveness of International Sanctions on China’s Treatment of Uyghur Muslims The Emerging Maritime Rivalry in the Western Indian Ocean: India’s Response to Extra-Regional Powers India's Maritime Grand Strategy on Trial : The IRIS Dena Incident and the Indian Ocean Question Loss and Damage Finance: From COP28 Pledges to Policy Architecture Extended Deterrence Under Strain: Credibility, Assurance, and the Stability-Instability Paradox in the Indo-Pacific Beyond Consultation: BIMSTEC's Emerging Role in Regional Intelligence and Security Cooperation Maritime India: Security, Trade, and Great Power Competition Between the Desert and the Savannah: Conflict and the Political Economy of Instability in the Sahel Beyond Ukraine: Understanding Putin's Vision of Russian Power The Politics of Ali Khamenei's Funeral Silicon Sovereignty: How Semiconductors Are Redrawing Global Power Hierarchies Operation Sindoor and the Changing Dynamics of India–Pakistan Security The Negative Impact of US–Iran War on the Pacific Region Generative AI, Labour Sovereignty, and the Geoeconomics of India's Service Economy BRICS Expansion and the Multipolar Moment: Opportunity or Strategic Contradiction? India's AI Diplomacy and the Future of Strategic Technologies Foot-Dragging as Feminism: Iran, South Korea, and the Ungovernable Body Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems and the Governance Deficit: Challenges to International Humanitarian Law and Accountability Beyond Proximity: Why the UAE Occupies a Growing Place in Iran’s Strategic Calculus Great Power Rivalry and the Crisis of the United Nations Why Fiji Matters: The New Geopolitics of the Indo-Pacific Islands Ten Years After Brexit: Regret, Reform, or Reversal? The Long Shadow of 1953: Understanding the Iran–US Conflict Sports, Strategy and Statecraft of Mega Sporting Events as Geoeconomic Instruments: Qatar 2022 to Saudi Arabia 2034 Border Fencing and National security: India’s Strategy along the Bangladesh Border Hardening the Quad: From Strategic Dialogue to Operational Cooperation Lingering Effects of the Bush Doctrine on Contemporary US Foreign Policy The Maghreb of States: Identity, Sovereignty, and the Limits of Non-Interference India’s BRICS 2026 Chairmanship Navigating a tightrope Amidst the Chinese Geopolitical Rise Beyond the Battlefield: Understanding Unconventional Security Challenges in Contemporary Geopolitics The Control Paradox: How Proxy Warfare Enables Strategic Deniability While Constraining Strategic Control Trapped in Deterrence: Nuclear Stability and the Persistence of Conflict in South Asia The Return of Unipolarity? U.S Strategic Primacy and the Future of the Global Order Supply Chains and Complicity: The Role of Global Corporations in Forced Labour in Xinjiang The Distant Threat: Is Israel Constructing a Strategic Rival in Pakistan Island Militarisation and Techno-Diplomacy: Turkey’s Eastern Mediterranean Fault Lines Amid India-Greece Alignment India’s Security Scenario: An Assessment of its Continental and Maritime Challenges The Geopolitical Architecture of European Defence: Navigating NATO Synergies, Transatlantic Retrenchment, and the Hybrid Threat Landscape The Artemis Accords and the Future of Global Space Governance AI and the Securitization of Critical Infrastructure: Implications of India's AI Summit Beyond Rhetoric: Evaluating the Effectiveness of International Sanctions on China’s Treatment of Uyghur Muslims The Emerging Maritime Rivalry in the Western Indian Ocean: India’s Response to Extra-Regional Powers India's Maritime Grand Strategy on Trial : The IRIS Dena Incident and the Indian Ocean Question
ADVERTISEMENT
Politics October 21, 2022 1187 Reads

China’s Party Congress and Third Term for Xi Jinping

N
By Neha Singh Dayma
Author • Centre for Security & Strategic Studies
China’s Party Congress and Third Term for Xi Jinping
Share Analysis:
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY & STRATEGIC TAKEAWAYS

For a few days now, news about the Chinese Party Congress has been making the rounds. This is because China's governing communist party is convening its 20th national congress from October 16 to October 22 at the Great Hall of the People on...

ADVERTISEMENT

The national Congress now has around 96 million members. The party congress is attended by around a thousand members, who are chosen to attend every fifth year. These representatives are drawn from various provinces, the military, ministries, governmental agencies, and social groups. It is vital to highlight that these delegates are chosen after careful consideration, and no party member is permitted to campaign openly during this period.

 The Central Committee, the party's main national-level institution, is then filled by these delegates, who choose 400 people. The 25-member Politburo and the even more prestigious Standing Committee will thereafter be chosen from among the Central Committee's 200 voting members. Resolutions on various problems are also moved. However, in reality, the delegates only serve as a rubber stamp for the decisions made by the party leadership, who decide the amendments and personnel selections in advance.

According to reports, 2,296 delegates were chosen to serve in the congress this time. Of those, 771 are referred to as "frontline party members" who work outside of the party apparatus, either in the military, which serves as the party's military wing, or in the fields of agriculture or technology.

Choosing new Leadership

Politburo

The Chinese Communist Party's ruling body is the Politburo, also known as the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee. Currently, the CCP is governed by a group of 25 senior officials, which is led by the general secretary.

Standing Committee

The standing committee's official mandate is to hold policy discussions and make decisions on key matters while the Politburo is not in session. There are now seven members of the Politburo's standing committee, which has historically had five to eleven members. These include Xi Jinping, Li Keqiang, Li Zhanshu, Wang Yang, Wang Huning, Zhao Leji, and Han Zheng. At the completion of Congress, the new members of the standing committee and Politburo will be announced.

However, a set of internal age norms for promotion and retirement govern the appointments and promotions in these two bodies. According to the "seven up, eight down" convention, officials who are 67 or younger at the time of a party congress are eligible for promotion, while those who are 68 or older are typically expected to retire. Nobody above the age of 68 was selected for a new term in the Politburo at the most recent congresses in 2007, 2012, or 2017. However, with the exception of Xi Jinping (who will be discussed later), all senior officials, including number two leader Premier Li Keqiang will be replaced as a result of this convention.

The 20th National Congress's next significant revelation is that Xi Jinping will retain his existing roles as party leader, head of state, and military commander for the ensuing five years. In the past, Chinese presidents like Hu Jintao and Jiang Zemin adhered to an unofficial two-term restriction, which required them to step down from office after two terms. Deng Xiaoping instituted this unofficial two-term limit to either avoid a repeat of Mao's cult of personality, which caused China to regress by decades and resulted in the tragic Great Leap Forward and Cultural Revolution, which claimed the lives of millions of Chinese, or to simply avoid the emergence of a one-leader dominated system. Many believe that this term limit makes China into a new type of autarchy, considering term limitations are uncommon in authoritarian regimes.

 However, this time, Xi Jinping is set to begin his third term by departing from previous norms. The planning for this began in 2018, when China enacted a constitutional amendment that abolished the two-term restriction from China's constitution. Additionally, because Xi Jinping is currently 69 years old, it is reported that he is breaking the "seven up, eight down" tradition. Along with these alterations, the senior leadership of the Chinese military will also shift.

All these developments will increase Xi Jinping's prestige, making him one of the most powerful presidents in modern Chinese history. His zero-corruption policy and signature anti-corruption campaign, which resulted in the investigation of around 4.4 million individuals, including Xi Jinping's opponents, on corruption-related charges, were two of his most notable accomplishments during his first two years. It will be intriguing to see what Xi has in store for Chinese citizens.

Amending the Party’s Constitution

The Party's constitution, which was last changed in 2017, is the second item on the National Congress's agenda. In 2017, Xi Jinping was able to incorporate his philosophy—known as "Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era"—into the Chinese Communist Party's constitution. Only Mao had this honor before him (that is, to have their own independent ideology incorporated into the constitution while remaining in office).

Setting the main policy direction

The National Congress's third goal is to establish the main policy direction. According to several reports, the party congress has recently stated that continuity rather than change will be the dominant theme for the following five years. China's position on Taiwan is one such instance of this continuity. According to the report of the 20th National Congress, the unification of Taiwan is "a natural prerequisite for achieving the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation." (Bonny Lin, 2022). The report, however, does not outline a precise date for reunification.

In addition, Xi Jinping is said to have discussed China's challenges during his speech to the Party Congress, in addition to the slow global economy and regional disturbances. 

While talking on the importance of new politburo and standing Committee, the Asia Society Policy Institute (Decoding the 20th Party Congress, n.d.) asserts that while Xi Jinping will have the last word on key policy choices, the selection of leadership personnel will also have a significant impact on more minute choices about specific policy matters.

Apart from these, one area that has grown in relevance at the 20th Party Congress is national security. The 20th Party Congress report, according to the Centre for Strategic and International Studies, has a brand-new section on national security that focuses on a "multidimensional" and broad view of national security, which is referred to as a "bedrock of national rejuvenation." According to CSIS, the report exhorts Chinese cadres to defend "centralized, unified leadership over national security work" and to "promote national security in all areas and stages of the work of the Party and the country." (Bonny Lin, 2022) 

Thus, the world will continue to deal with a more assertive and aggressive China, at least for the next five years, if these elements are taken together, as there hasn't been much of a shift in party leadership and policy orientation.


References

1.       Bonny Lin, B. H. (2022, October 19). China’s 20th Party Congress Report: Doubling Down in the Face of External Threats. Retrieved from Centre for Strategic and International Studies : https://www.csis.org/analysis/chinas-20th-party-congress-report-doubling-down-face-external-threats

2.     Decoding the 20th Party Congress. (n.d.). Retrieved from Asia Society Policy Institute : https://asiasociety.org/policy-institute/decoding-chinas-20th-party-congress


Pic Courtsey-Xinhua News.

(The views expressed are those of the author and do not represent views of CESCUBE.)

Neha Singh Dayma
About Neha Singh Dayma →

Neha Dayma has recently completed her Masters in Politics with Specialization in International Studies from Jawaharlal Nehru University. She is a political science graduate and also a current intern at Online Foreign Policy School. Her areas of interest include South- East Asia, West Asia, geopolitics, Indo- Pacific and India's foreign policy.

ADVERTISEMENT

Related Strategic Analysis